Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Two major terrorist attacks in the world Russia France have joined forces United

Two major terrorist attacks in the world, Russia, France have joined forces, United States when to sell?

"14 years ago, the United States after the 911 incident, global helps the United States, now, the United States do to help others? "Recently, the United States essay calls for the foreign policy website.

Russia airliner Egypt crash Paris: terrorist attacks, terrorism face a major test of the international community.

United States President Barack Obama is not silent, just not silent. After the terrorist attacks in Paris, he strongly condemns the said it was an attack against humanity and common values, United States and France standing together, ready to France for assistance.

Meanwhile, Mr Obama made clear at the G20 Summit, Paris terror attacks will not change without upgrading the military's position, sent troops into Syria against "Islamic country (IS)" would be a "mistake", and combat IS takes time. White House officials also said that to boost American troops in Iraq and Syria's role will pay a very high price.

As usual, Obama's position immediately attracted severe criticism. Critics say the past 3 years, treated Barack Obama IS "too weak" and needed a plan for more crackdown, which is on the United States homeland security safeguards-November 16, IS newly released a new video warning that participation in air strike Syria the country will suffer with France the same fate, and threatened in the United States Washington attack.

"On the one hand, United States position to ' full support of France ', on the other hand, United States position and reluctance to upgrade military action rather than deployed ground troops, the United States is contradictory, very difficult. "Shanghai International Studies University Middle East Institute honorary Director Zhu Weilie told surging News (www.thepaper.CN)," for Paris terrorist attacks event, Obama Government compared easy made directly of short-term reaction--American and intelligence sector to France provides help, and increased air strikes efforts, and help France on Syria of IS implementation combat, but future long-term of United States Middle East strategy to not because ' France version 911 event ' and reversed course, and made big changes, Because it's only 1 year left the Obama administration is too difficult. " Hefei Shushan district Deputy District Chief Mei

On the 17th, in announcing Russia airliner Egypt crashed due to the terrorist attacks, Russia President Vladimir Putin with France President Francois hollande agreed air strike action IS to expand the two countries work closely together.

Caution: insist on not sending ground troops

According to Reuters, Obama at the G20 Summit, said: "not because our army cannot enter the combat IS, but because we are going to look at previous incidents. "He stressed that" if we sent 50,000 troops into Syria. If Yemen attacks do? We could also send more troops into Yemen? "

United States senior national security adviser to the President Ben·luodesi (Ben Rhodes) at the G20 Summit to the media, said: "we do not believe that US troops are the answer. Full participation of additional American ground operations in the Middle East, is not a way to address current challenges. "

On the issue of sending ground troops, United States seems to be very cautious. In late October, Russia sent troops to Syria Hou, the Obama administration authorized to Syria to send "less than 50" of special operations forces, to help combat the IS. This is the United States in Syria on the issue, only to see "action on the ground", in accordance with the United States have to say, those ground forces will take "train, advise and assist" mission, but did not receive the "combat mission".

In addition, Obama also in Syria made vague "red lines". In 2014, Obama warned Syria Government, "once you see the movement of large quantities of chemical weapons or use" United States military intervention may this year, Mr Obama's "red line" from "use of weapons" quietly changed to "confirmed use of chemical weapons", Mr Obama has repeatedly stressed that it would not because the pressure got to making immature decisions.

"Whether it is repeatedly ' Syria red line ' bottom line, is sent to assist special forces and declared that only 50 people, then to ' insist on not sending ground troops ' position. In Syria on the issue, Obama has always been careful. On the whole, United States Middle East policy conservative and cautious. "Zhu Weilie said.

In 2001, the United States after the 911 incident, United States and the United Kingdom-led coalition formed in other countries, pay the high cost of sending ground troops to attack Iraq and Afghanistan, but sending ground troops also failed to solve the problem, but troubled, transforming the Middle East "initiative" has not worked. "The lesson of history is very deep. "The surging Shanghai International Studies University Professor Liu zhongmin told the Middle East News," Obama inherited Bush too much heritage in the Middle East, many years of experiences and lessons on terrorism made his limited action in the Middle East, strategic contraction as a whole. "

Concerns: not just terrorism, there are anti-Bashar Al-Assad regime

Caution the Obama administration deal with Syria behind the problems and turmoil in the Middle East, also reflects the United States concerns.

United States on how to combat IS? While, United States insisted not and Syria Bashar Al-Assad (Bashar Assad) Government cooperation, constantly forced its stepped down; on the, United States as play NATO and area allies of role, but this year September Yemen outbreak conflict Hou, and United States cooperation joint combat IS of Bay National inevitably was Yemen war drag, verge; also, United States itself input less military, and financial, strategy resources, United States mod data displayed, in combat IS aspects, From August 2014 to October 2015, the United States invested a total of $ 4.7 billion, compared with 2003 to 2011, the Iraq war has made United States spending more than $ 1 trillion in military spending.

"United States air strike Syria's motive is not simply against terrorism, and would like to take the Syrian force of rebel or extremist groups, this is not just ' terrorism ', and ' anti-Bashar Al-Assad regime '. "Surging Zhu Weilie told the news," the United States always in combat IS not pulling, only ' tactical input ', not ' strategic investment ', United States in the Middle East is taken by ' agents ' strategies. "

Liu zhongmin told the word news, although Obama's Middle East policy, outwardly it looked show United States declining influence and strength in the Middle East decline, but in fact, in line with the United States national interest, in a sense, such a strategy is to work in the Middle East.

Throughout Obama's global strategy, 2012 United States strategic move East as a whole, "Asia-Pacific rebalancing" become the strategic focus. In this regard, said Zhu Weilie, in the background of many of the core of the Middle East conflict has been settled, United States in the Middle East is actually shrinking. This strategic miscalculation caused terror in the Middle East situation is more severe, there's only the Obama administration last year, Middle East strategy it would be hard to change.

United States what happens next?

What should be to solve the Syria issue out of what prescription?

On November 14, the second Syria issues Foreign Ministers said in a joint statement, the parties reach a consensus on classification of political transition timetable, agreed to ceasefire in Syria as soon as possible. Syria will be established within 6 months of the Transitional Government, elections and draft a new Constitution within 18 months, but Bashar on the fate of political differences remain huge.

At the G20 Summit, Obama, Vladimir Putin had a "private chat". Russia presidential aide Ushakov said the two strategic objectives in combat IS similar, but there are differences.

"The bombing alone definitely cannot win the war on terror. "France Prime Minister Francois Fillon (Fran รง OIS Fillon) accused the West lacks IS a clear strategy, said of Bashar Al-Assad and IS in the same area on two fronts is stupid.

In terms of combat IS in October of this year, us and Russian Ministry of Defense announced has been signed by both parties in Syria flight safety's memorandum, the two sides should always maintain a professional flight technology and "safe distance", using the communication frequency, establish communication lines on the ground and avoid military aircraft collision in the air. At present, the United States and Russia have yet to have any joint agreement.

"Us-Russian cooperation to reach is too difficult, if the Bashar regime to compromise on issues, that means that the past year, United States counter-terrorism course is wrong, United States themselves find it difficult to accept. If the foreign powers and the countries of the Middle East can not form a counter-terrorism force, turmoil in the Middle East will continue. "Zhu Weilie said.

United States famous "know China sent" Sinology home, and Stockholm International Peace Institute Director Bates Gill (Bates Gill) recently told surging News: "United States and Russia Zhijian has to bridge of differences, two relationship is is ' tit-for-tat ', in Syria problem Shang, Russia strong intervention zhihou, has been refused to gave up support Bashar Al-Assad-Assad regime, to station in with cooperation combat terrorism, almost is impossible of. "

Then, United States what happens next?

Rhodes stressed that the United States still have confidence in the Government through the US military in Iraq and Syria of training local forces forced back IS.

Washington think-tank, the new United States President lichade·fangdan Security Center (Richard Fontaine) that the Obama administration will almost certainly consider new means to strengthen the military action. For example, choose to make the following two changes: closer to the front lines of Iraq troops embedded military advisers deployed in the battlefield air controller to improve the effectiveness of an air strike. Previously, Obama had refused to take this in two ways.

United States Middle East analyst andongni·kedesiman (Anthony Cordesman) analysis that the United States move embedded military advisers on the ground is unlikely to quickly produce results.

As at the G20 Summit, Obama said United States would strengthen the strategies that have been implemented, but the United States has implemented a strategy is a strategy that will work--"but ... ... It's gonna take time. "

Was informed that Russia and France against Syria IS cooperation in the territory, Obama will change the Government, remains to be seen.

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